Leganes 0-3 Real Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 24 Nov 2024

Leganes
0-3 HT 0-1
Real Madrid
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Leganes vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
6.35
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
55%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 29% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
13.95
1/2
6%
24.3
1/X
7%
22.1
X/1
9%
16.6
X/2
15%
3.43
X/X
8%
6.55
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
35%
1.65
2/X
7%
21.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
13%
+9.6pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
55%
Away Win
68%
-12.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leganes v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 72%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
0.84/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.05
-11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +0%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 473 · 85%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.3
15.2 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Leganes vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Madrid
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.03 xG 2.14
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
257 Passes 576
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.07.2020 Leganes Leganes 2-2 HT 1-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
30.10.2019 Real Madrid Real Madrid 5-0 HT 3-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
15.04.2019 Leganes Leganes 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
16.01.2019 Leganes Leganes 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İSPK
09.01.2019 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İSPK
01.09.2018 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-1 HT 1-1 Leganes Leganes İS1

Leganes 0-3 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
0-3
AWAY Real Madrid
0.11 xG 1.90
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
231 Passes 561
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
5 Box Touches 45
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Real Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid swept aside Leganes 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Leganes had 32% of the ball to Real Madrid's 68%, shots finished 4-16, expected goals 0.11 to 1.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Leganes and 2.50 for Real Madrid.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Real Madrid?

Leganes 0-3 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Real Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Leganes 23%, draw 22%, Real Madrid 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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