CD Castellon vs Burgos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CD Castellon v Burgos — Team-Based Signals
CD Castellon vs Burgos Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
CD Castellon 2-1 Burgos — Actual Match Statistics
CD Castellon squeezed past Burgos 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Castellon as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, CD Castellon had 55% of the ball to Burgos's 45%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.66 to 2.60 — the balance of chances actually favoured Burgos.
What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Burgos?
CD Castellon 2-1 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Burgos?
Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 43%, draw 26%, Burgos 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.