Real Zaragoza 1-1 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.26
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
5.01
6+ Goals
9%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.37
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
13%
4.93
X/2
8%
6.5
X/X
15%
3.58
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
14%
5.2
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.6pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.24/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.32
+2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
22.1 Crosses 17.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Zaragoza
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.20 xG 1.45
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 Passes 375
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
05.02.2024 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 3-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
14.10.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-2 HT 0-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
22.01.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
17.09.2022 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
27.02.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Zaragoza
1-1
AWAY Sporting Gijon
1.93 xG 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
256 Passes 302
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
41 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Zaragoza vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza and Sporting Gijon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Real Zaragoza at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Real Zaragoza had 47% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 53%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.93 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Zaragoza had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Zaragoza and 0.83 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Sporting Gijon?

Real Zaragoza 1-1 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 41%, draw 30%, Sporting Gijon 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Zaragoza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Zaragoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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