Algeciras 1-1 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
5.0
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.24/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.32
-3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Merida AD
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.09.2024 Merida AD Merida AD 1-0 HT 0-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
13.04.2024 Merida AD Merida AD 3-1 HT 0-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
17.09.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 2-0 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
29.04.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 1-0 HT 1-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
30.10.2022 Merida AD Merida AD 3-3 HT 2-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
17.11.2019 Merida AD Merida AD 4-2 HT 2-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
1-1
AWAY Merida AD
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algeciras and Merida AD couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Algeciras had 47% of the ball to Merida AD's 53%, shots finished 4-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Merida AD led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Algeciras and 1.83 for Merida AD.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Merida AD?

Algeciras 1-1 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algeciras win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 40%, draw 28%, Merida AD 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Algeciras), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Algeciras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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