Lugo vs Tarazona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lugo v Tarazona — Team-Based Signals
Lugo vs Tarazona Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Lugo 1-2 Tarazona — Actual Match Statistics
Tarazona nicked a narrow win over Lugo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Lugo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Lugo had 63% of the ball to Tarazona's 37%, shots finished 9-2.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tarazona led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Lugo and 0.67 for Tarazona.
What was the final score of Lugo vs Tarazona?
Lugo 1-2 Tarazona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lugo vs Tarazona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lugo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lugo 48%, draw 24%, Tarazona 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.