Arenteiro 2-2 Sestao River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.45
Over 2.5
48%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.27
No
48%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.02
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.61
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
65%
-12.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
35%
+12.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
40%
+12.2pp
48%
BTTS No
60%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestao River EU Bookmakers 26%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.28/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.25
-15% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenteiro
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Sestao River
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 Sestao River Sestao River 2-1 HT 2-0 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
04.02.2024 Sestao River Sestao River 1-0 HT 1-0 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
15.10.2023 Arenteiro Arenteiro 1-0 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenteiro
2-2
AWAY Sestao River
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arenteiro vs Sestao River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenteiro and Sestao River shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Arenteiro at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Arenteiro had 71% of the ball to Sestao River's 29%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sestao River led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arenteiro and 1.00 for Sestao River.

What was the final score of Arenteiro vs Sestao River?

Arenteiro 2-2 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenteiro vs Sestao River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenteiro win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arenteiro 44%, draw 30%, Sestao River 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arenteiro), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arenteiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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