St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities
St. Pauli v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals
St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St. Pauli 0-2 Borussia Dortmund — Actual Match Statistics
Borussia Dortmund got the better of St. Pauli 2-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Borussia Dortmund as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: St. Pauli had 43% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 57%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.41 to 1.66.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Pauli and 2.17 for Borussia Dortmund.
St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Result & Final Score
St. Pauli 0 - 2 Borussia Dortmund in the Germany - Bundesliga on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 23%, draw 25%, Borussia Dortmund 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.