Eintracht Frankfurt 1-4 Bayer Leverkusen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
52%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.23
Over Pick
61%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.5
2-3
45%
1.88
4-5
28%
2.77
6+
8%
7.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.02
1/2
4%
20.8
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
9%
8.68
X/2
18%
4.74
X/X
14%
5.64
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.36
2/X
5%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.8 — our 4% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen The Market 55%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.37 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.85
1.67 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.95
Great Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 80%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.55 xG 2.21
49% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
426 Passes 466
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
05.05.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-5 HT 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
17.12.2023 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
08.04.2023 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 HT 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
15.10.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 5-1 HT 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
02.05.2022 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 4
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
1.09 xG 2.40
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
323 Passes 518
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 43
6 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayer Leverkusen
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bayer Leverkusen dismantled Eintracht Frankfurt 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came home.

Under the surface, Bayer Leverkusen saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 1.09 to 2.40.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Eintracht Frankfurt against 2.67 for Bayer Leverkusen.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayer Leverkusen Result & Final Score

Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 24%, draw 24%, Bayer Leverkusen 52%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL1 More Germany - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2025
17:30 RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05 Analysis →
17:30 Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg Analysis →
17:30 Heidenheim vs Mönchengladbach Analysis →
17:30 Bochum vs Hoffenheim Analysis →
17:30 St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Analysis →