Preston North End 3-0 Burnley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 1 Mar 2025

Preston North End
3-0 HT 2-0
Burnley
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Preston North End vs Burnley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.92
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.67
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
16%
5.99
X/2
11%
5.09
X/X
13%
3.68
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.63
2/X
10%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Preston North End v Burnley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston North End EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley EU Bookmakers 42%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.09/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.02/0.04
-21% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -99% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
261 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
– Crosses 14.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Preston North End vs Burnley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preston North End
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Burnley
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.54 xG 0.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
199 Passes 464
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.02.2025 Preston North End Preston North End 0-0 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNCL
05.10.2024 Burnley Burnley 0-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
11.02.2023 Burnley Burnley 3-0 HT 1-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
13.09.2022 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 1-1 Burnley Burnley İNCL
23.07.2018 Preston North End Preston North End 2-3 HT 1-1 Burnley Burnley HAZ
25.07.2017 Preston North End Preston North End 1-2 HT 0-1 Burnley Burnley HAZ
POST-MATCH Preston North End vs Burnley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston North End swept aside Burnley 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Preston North End found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Preston North End and 1.50 for Burnley.

What was the final score of Preston North End vs Burnley?

Preston North End 3-0 Burnley in the England - FA Cup on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston North End vs Burnley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preston North End win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Preston North End 35%, draw 29%, Burnley 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAK More England - FA Cup
1 Mar 2025
15:15 Crystal Palace vs Millwall Analysis →
18:00 Bournemouth vs Wolverhampton Analysis →
20:45 Manchester City vs Plymouth Argyle Analysis →