Saint-Etienne 1-3 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 1 Mar 2025

Saint-Etienne
1-3 HT 1-1
Nice
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Saint-Etienne vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
50%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
8.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.62
1/2
8%
20.7
1/X
9%
15.45
X/1
10%
10.2
X/2
15%
4.34
X/X
6%
5.87
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.06
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+6.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
51%
Away Win
56%
-5.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Saint-Etienne v Nice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice EU Bookmakers 61%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.31/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.85
+13% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +17%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 83%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
14.2 Crosses 19.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

Saint-Etienne vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Etienne
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Nice
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.34 xG 2.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
366 Passes 421
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.09.2024 Nice Nice 8-0 HT 6-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
11.05.2022 Nice Nice 4-2 HT 0-2 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
25.09.2021 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-3 HT 0-1 Nice Nice FR1
31.01.2021 Nice Nice 0-1 HT 0-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
18.10.2020 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-3 HT 0-2 Nice Nice FR1
04.12.2019 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 4-1 HT 3-1 Nice Nice FR1

Saint-Etienne 1-3 Nice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Etienne
1-3
AWAY Nice
0.89 xG 1.92
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
600 Passes 330
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Saint-Etienne vs Nice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice got the better of Saint-Etienne 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nice as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Saint-Etienne had 62% of the ball to Nice's 38%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.89 to 1.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Saint-Etienne and 3.17 for Nice.

What was the final score of Saint-Etienne vs Nice?

Saint-Etienne 1-3 Nice in the France - Ligue 1 on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Etienne vs Nice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Saint-Etienne 27%, draw 23%, Nice 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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