Mumbai City 2-2 ATK Mohun Bagan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.83
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 32% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 36%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.43/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.04
+11% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
251 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
16.3 Crosses 16.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mumbai City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.37 xG 0.92
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
320 Passes 272
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
13.09.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-2 HT 2-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
04.05.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-3 HT 1-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
15.04.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 HT 1-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
20.12.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-1 HT 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
14.01.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 0-1 HT 0-1 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
06.11.2022 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-2 HT 1-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mumbai City
2-2
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
0.89 xG 0.61
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
394 Passes 251
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Mumbai City vs ATK Mohun Bagan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mumbai City and ATK Mohun Bagan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mumbai City had 59% of the ball to ATK Mohun Bagan's 41%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 0.89 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mumbai City and 1.33 for ATK Mohun Bagan.

What was the final score of Mumbai City vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

Mumbai City 2-2 ATK Mohun Bagan in the India - Super League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mumbai City vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

Before kick-off our model rated an ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mumbai City 34%, draw 30%, ATK Mohun Bagan 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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