Groningen 1-1 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 1 Mar 2025

Groningen
1-1 HT 1-1
Twente
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Groningen vs Twente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.73
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.99
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
14%
7.53
X/2
16%
4.55
X/X
15%
4.24
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.74
2/X
5%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
26%
+11.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-8.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Groningen v Twente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Groningen EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 50%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -15%
0.85/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.28
-46% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
15.1 Crosses 20.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Groningen vs Twente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Groningen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Twente
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.80 xG 1.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
265 Passes 326
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.12.2024 Twente Twente 2-0 HT 1-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
05.02.2023 Groningen Groningen 1-1 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL
16.10.2022 Twente Twente 3-0 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
11.05.2022 Twente Twente 3-0 HT 1-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
01.10.2021 Groningen Groningen 1-1 HT 1-0 Twente Twente HOL
17.01.2021 Groningen Groningen 2-2 HT 0-2 Twente Twente HOL

Groningen 1-1 Twente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Groningen
1-1
AWAY Twente
1.14 xG 1.42
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
268 Passes 420
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Groningen vs Twente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Groningen and Twente couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Groningen had 41% of the ball to Twente's 59%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 1.14 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Groningen and 2.00 for Twente.

What was the final score of Groningen vs Twente?

Groningen 1-1 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Groningen vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Groningen 37%, draw 25%, Twente 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Twente), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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