Twente 2-0 Groningen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 15 Dec 2024

Twente
2-0 HT 1-0
Groningen
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Twente vs Groningen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
13%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.23
Over 2.5
65%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.35
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
2.83
6+ Goals
14%
8.12
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.83 — our 32% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.65
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.4
X/1
15%
3.62
X/2
5%
16.1
X/X
5%
6.98
2/1
11%
22.1
2/2
5%
12.5
2/X
6%
20.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
68%
+1.1pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.5pp
13%
Away Win
13%
+0.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
41%
-6.0pp
65%
Over 2.5
59%
+6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Twente v Groningen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Groningen EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
2.32/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.40
-5% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
400 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
37.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
26.1 Crosses 12.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

Twente vs Groningen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Groningen
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.50 xG 0.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
289 Passes 283
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.02.2023 Groningen Groningen 1-1 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL
16.10.2022 Twente Twente 3-0 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
11.05.2022 Twente Twente 3-0 HT 1-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
01.10.2021 Groningen Groningen 1-1 HT 1-0 Twente Twente HOL
17.01.2021 Groningen Groningen 2-2 HT 0-2 Twente Twente HOL
25.09.2020 Twente Twente 3-1 HT 2-0 Groningen Groningen HOL

Twente 2-0 Groningen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
2-0
AWAY Groningen
1.15 xG 0.41
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
441 Passes 357
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Twente vs Groningen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente beat Groningen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Twente as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Twente had 54% of the ball to Groningen's 46%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.15 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Twente and 0.83 for Groningen.

What was the final score of Twente vs Groningen?

Twente 2-0 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs Groningen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Twente 69%, draw 17%, Groningen 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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