Ajax vs Almere City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax v Almere City — Team-Based Signals
Ajax vs Almere City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-0
Ajax
HOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Ajax
HAZ
Ajax 3-0 Almere City — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax swept aside Almere City 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
On the day, Ajax had 74% of the ball to Almere City's 26%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.56 to 0.07.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ajax had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ajax and 1.00 for Almere City.
What was the final score of Ajax vs Almere City?
Ajax 3-0 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax vs Almere City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Ajax 68%, draw 18%, Almere City 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.