Ajax vs Almere City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax v Almere City — Team-Based Signals
Ajax vs Almere City Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-0
Ajax
HOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Ajax
HAZ
Ajax 3-0 Almere City — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax cruised past Almere City 3-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Ajax had 58% of the ball to Almere City's 42%, shots finished 11-3, expected goals 1.32 to 0.17.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ajax and 1.50 for Almere City.
What was the final score of Ajax vs Almere City?
Ajax 3-0 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax vs Almere City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Ajax 61%, draw 18%, Almere City 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.