Utrecht 3-3 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 15 Dec 2024

Utrecht
3-3 HT 1-1
Go Ahead Eagles
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.63
No
58%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 28% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.78
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
15%
4.84
X/2
13%
7.5
X/X
11%
4.8
2/1
8%
24.7
2/2
14%
5.21
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
57%
-15.3pp
58%
BTTS No
43%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht v Go Ahead Eagles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.78/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.40
-3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
25.2 Crosses 17.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.84 xG 1.57
49% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
338 Passes 373
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 33
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.05.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 1-2 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
14.04.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 2-1 HT 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
10.12.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-2 HT 0-2 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
18.03.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-2 HT 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
15.01.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 HT 1-2 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
05.03.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL

Utrecht 3-3 Go Ahead Eagles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht
3-3
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
3.83 xG 1.10
53% Ball Possession 47%
39 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
351 Passes 298
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
74 Box Touches 17
45 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht and Go Ahead Eagles couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Utrecht at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Utrecht had 53% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 47%, shots finished 39-9, expected goals 3.83 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Utrecht and 1.33 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Utrecht 3-3 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 44%, draw 24%, Go Ahead Eagles 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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