Utrecht vs NAC Breda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Utrecht v NAC Breda — Team-Based Signals
Utrecht vs NAC Breda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-1
Utrecht
HOK
0-4
HT 0-2
Utrecht
HOL
2-1
HT 1-0
NAC Breda
HOL
3-1
HT 1-0
Utrecht
HOL
2-2
HT 1-1
NAC Breda
HOL
Utrecht 1-0 NAC Breda — Actual Match Statistics
Utrecht squeezed past NAC Breda 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Utrecht as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Utrecht had 57% of the ball to NAC Breda's 43%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.54 to 0.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Utrecht's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Utrecht and 1.67 for NAC Breda.
What was the final score of Utrecht vs NAC Breda?
Utrecht 1-0 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Utrecht vs NAC Breda?
Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 54%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.