Go Ahead Eagles 3-2 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.71
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
49%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.61
2-3 Goals
39%
2.15
4-5 Goals
30%
2.41
6+ Goals
11%
4.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
8.76
1/2
9%
17.7
1/X
6%
16.8
X/1
8%
12.7
X/2
9%
4.37
X/X EV+ ✗
16%
7.82
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
31%
1.75
2/X
4%
15.1
Value flag · X/X at 7.82 — our 16% vs market 9.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+8.3pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.4pp
49%
Away Win
63%
-14.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 69%
-19% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.26/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/0.98
-8% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.1
19.4 Crosses 19.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
1W-0D-5L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.85 xG 2.45
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
253 Passes 536
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 44
13 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.02.2025 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1-2 HT 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOK
01.09.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-0 HT 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
08.03.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-1 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
27.09.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
28.01.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
13.08.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-5 HT 1-3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
3-2
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
1.79 xG 1.19
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
172 Passes 445
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 58
7 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles squeezed past PSV Eindhoven 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was PSV Eindhoven at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 33% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 67%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.79 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 2.50 for PSV Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV Eindhoven?

Go Ahead Eagles 3-2 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 26%, draw 26%, PSV Eindhoven 49%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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