Envigado 1-7 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 1 Mar 2025

Envigado
1-7 HT 1-3
Santa Fe
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Envigado vs Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.9pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Envigado v Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
0.87/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.00
-8% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
260 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
12.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
12.5 Crosses 17.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9

Envigado vs Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Santa Fe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.68 xG 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
288 Passes 300
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.07.2024 Envigado Envigado 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
28.01.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-1 HT 2-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
24.08.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
05.03.2023 Envigado Envigado 3-2 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
03.10.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
10.04.2022 Envigado Envigado 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL

Envigado 1-7 Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Envigado
1-7
AWAY Santa Fe
0.83 xG 1.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
270 Passes 263
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe swept aside Envigado 7-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Santa Fe found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Envigado had 51% of the ball to Santa Fe's 49%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.83 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Envigado and 1.50 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Santa Fe?

Envigado 1-7 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Envigado 31%, draw 31%, Santa Fe 38%. The final score 1-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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