Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.51
Over 2.5
32%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.7pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.5pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.4pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.2pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -6%
1.02/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.13
+2% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 71%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
19.4 Crosses 13.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Junior
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.75 xG 0.99
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 Passes 384
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
26.05.2024 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
12.05.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
22.01.2024 Junior Junior 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
06.02.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
10.10.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1-1
AWAY Junior
1.28 xG 0.89
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
248 Passes 155
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
12 Box Touches 7
19 Crosses 10
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga and Junior couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 34% / 26%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 58% of the ball to Junior's 42%, shots finished 11-3, expected goals 1.28 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 0.67 for Junior.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Junior?

Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 40%, draw 34%, Junior 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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