Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.06
No
64%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.5pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.5pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -8%
0.97/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.09
-6% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
15.8 Crosses 14.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Junior
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.79 xG 1.15
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
301 Passes 338
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
12.05.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
22.01.2024 Junior Junior 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
06.02.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
10.10.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
12.06.2022 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1-0
AWAY Junior
0.06 xG 0.75
25% Ball Possession 75%
2 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
159 Passes 605
71% Pass Accuracy 90%
5 Box Touches 22
5 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga edged past Junior 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Bucaramanga as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 25% of the ball to Junior's 75%, shots finished 2-13, expected goals 0.06 to 0.75 — on chances, Junior could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 0.83 for Junior.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Junior?

Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 45%, draw 28%, Junior 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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