Naxxar Lions 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 48%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naxxar Lions
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.12.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-3 HT 0-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
22.09.2024 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 3-3 HT 1-1 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naxxar Lions
1-1
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
28% Ball Possession 72%
3 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Naxxar Lions vs Zabbar St. Patrick
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxxar Lions and Zabbar St. Patrick shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Zabbar St. Patrick at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Naxxar Lions had 28% of the ball to Zabbar St. Patrick's 72%, shots finished 3-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zabbar St. Patrick led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Naxxar Lions and 3.00 for Zabbar St. Patrick.

What was the final score of Naxxar Lions vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Naxxar Lions 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick in the MALTP on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naxxar Lions vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zabbar St. Patrick win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Naxxar Lions 29%, draw 28%, Zabbar St. Patrick 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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