Sliema Wanderers 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-10.1pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.7pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 28%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.99/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.67
-34% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sliema Wanderers
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
17.02.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
01.10.2023 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sliema Wanderers
0-1
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC nicked a narrow win over Sliema Wanderers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Marsaxlokk FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sliema Wanderers had 50% of the ball to Marsaxlokk FC's 50%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sliema Wanderers had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sliema Wanderers and 0.67 for Marsaxlokk FC.

What was the final score of Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Sliema Wanderers 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC in the MALTP on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sliema Wanderers vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sliema Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sliema Wanderers 37%, draw 32%, Marsaxlokk FC 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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