Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 1 Mar 2025

Zaglebie Lubin
0-1 HT 0-1
Piast Gliwice
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.31
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.64
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.21
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
12%
5.66
X/2
10%
5.45
X/X
15%
3.71
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.96
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zaglebie Lubin v Piast Gliwice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 38%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.40/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.35
-7% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
21.4 Crosses 17.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.67 xG 1.46
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
390 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
15.04.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-0 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
07.10.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
12.02.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 HT 0-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
29.07.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
05.03.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL

Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 Piast Gliwice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
0-1
AWAY Piast Gliwice
2.05 xG 1.47
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
364 Passes 296
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice squeezed past Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Piast Gliwice found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin had 55% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 45%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.05 to 1.47 — on chances, Zaglebie Lubin could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Zaglebie Lubin and 1.00 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice?

Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin 35%, draw 29%, Piast Gliwice 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Piast Gliwice), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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