Nacional vs Famalicao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional v Famalicao — Team-Based Signals
Nacional vs Famalicao Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Nacional
POR
2-1
HT 0-1
Famalicao
POR
Nacional 2-1 Famalicao — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional edged past Famalicao 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Nacional made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Nacional had 54% of the ball to Famalicao's 46%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 0.91 to 1.20.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nacional and 1.33 for Famalicao.
What was the final score of Nacional vs Famalicao?
Nacional 2-1 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional vs Famalicao?
Before kick-off our model rated an Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nacional 35%, draw 25%, Famalicao 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Famalicao) went the other way.