BG Pathum United 2-0 Muang Thong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

BG Pathum United
2-0 HT 1-0
Muang Thong United
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

BG Pathum United vs Muang Thong United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BG Pathum United v Muang Thong United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.52/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.97
-31% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
23.8 Crosses 14.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

BG Pathum United vs Muang Thong United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BG Pathum United
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Muang Thong United
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 Passes 442
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 1-1 HT 0-1 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
25.02.2023 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 1-0 HT 0-0 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
01.10.2022 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 3-0 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
16.01.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-2 HT 1-0 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
13.10.2021 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 2-1 HT 2-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY

BG Pathum United 2-0 Muang Thong United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BG Pathum United
2-0
AWAY Muang Thong United
1.81 xG 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
292 Passes 293
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BG Pathum United vs Muang Thong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BG Pathum United got the better of Muang Thong United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; BG Pathum United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, BG Pathum United had 50% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 50%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.81 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, BG Pathum United had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for BG Pathum United and 1.00 for Muang Thong United.

What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Muang Thong United?

BG Pathum United 2-0 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Muang Thong United?

Before kick-off our model rated a BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 39%, draw 27%, Muang Thong United 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BG Pathum United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BG Pathum United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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