Thai Port FC 4-2 Nakhon Ratchasima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
62%
-4.8pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.9pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
1.88/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.28
+14% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
22.9 Crosses 15.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thai Port FC
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.33 xG 1.09
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
413 Passes 154
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
27 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 2-3 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
12.11.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
20.03.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 3-2 HT 0-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
07.11.2021 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 3-1 HT 2-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thai Port FC
4-2
AWAY Nakhon Ratchasima
3.25 xG 1.21
72% Ball Possession 28%
30 Total Shots 6
15 Shots on Target 2
19 Corners 1
398 Passes 129
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
46 Box Touches 13
37 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Thai Port FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thai Port FC got the better of Nakhon Ratchasima 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Thai Port FC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Thai Port FC had 72% of the ball to Nakhon Ratchasima's 28%, shots finished 30-6, expected goals 3.25 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Thai Port FC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Thai Port FC and 1.75 for Nakhon Ratchasima.

What was the final score of Thai Port FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima?

Thai Port FC 4-2 Nakhon Ratchasima in the Thailand - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thai Port FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Thai Port FC 58%, draw 21%, Nakhon Ratchasima 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thai Port FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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