Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 Rayong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nong Bua Pitchaya EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.39/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.33
-1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
18.0 Crosses 23.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nong Bua Pitchaya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rayong FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.23 xG 2.04
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 2
256 Passes 201
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
37 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2024 Rayong FC 3-1 HT 3-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nong Bua Pitchaya
1-1
AWAY Rayong FC
0.38 xG 0.41
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 12
164 Passes 260
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Rayong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nong Bua Pitchaya and Rayong FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nong Bua Pitchaya at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Nong Bua Pitchaya had 39% of the ball to Rayong FC's 61%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.38 to 0.41.

What was the final score of Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Rayong FC?

Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 Rayong FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Rayong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nong Bua Pitchaya win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nong Bua Pitchaya 41%, draw 30%, Rayong FC 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nong Bua Pitchaya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nong Bua Pitchaya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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