Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo La Guaira v Metropolitanos — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Deportivo La Guaira
VEN
2-0
HT 0-0
Metropolitanos
VEN
Deportivo La Guaira 4-1 Metropolitanos — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo La Guaira ran out comfortable winners over Metropolitanos 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Deportivo La Guaira made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 56% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 44%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.17 to 1.73 — the balance of chances actually favoured Metropolitanos.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.33 for Metropolitanos.
What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos?
Deportivo La Guaira 4-1 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 40%, draw 28%, Metropolitanos 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.