Valencia vs Osasuna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Valencia v Osasuna — Team-Based Signals
Valencia vs Osasuna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Valencia 1-0 Osasuna — Actual Match Statistics
Valencia nicked a narrow win over Osasuna 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Valencia made the difference. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (58%) landed.
On the day, Osasuna saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.56 to 0.32 — on chances created, Valencia won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Valencia against 1.00 for Osasuna.
Valencia vs Osasuna Result & Final Score
Valencia 1 - 0 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Valencia vs Osasuna Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Valencia 39%, draw 32%, Osasuna 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valencia), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.