Girona vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Girona v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Girona 1-2 Celta Vigo — Actual Match Statistics
Celta Vigo found just enough to beat Girona 2-1 away from home. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
From a near-even 37% / 31% / 32% read, it was Celta Vigo who turned the coin-flip their way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Girona had 57% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 43%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.37 to 0.57 — by the quality of chances, Girona deserved more.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Girona and 0.83 for Celta Vigo.
Girona vs Celta Vigo Result & Final Score
Girona 1 - 2 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Girona vs Celta Vigo Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Girona 37%, draw 31%, Celta Vigo 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Girona), Under 2.5 went the other way.