Celta Vigo vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celta Vigo v Girona — Team-Based Signals
Celta Vigo vs Girona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Celta Vigo 1-1 Girona — Actual Match Statistics
Celta Vigo and Girona shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
This one beat our numbers. Celta Vigo carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Celta Vigo had 60% of the ball to Girona's 40%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.50 to 0.64.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.00 for Girona.
What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Girona?
Celta Vigo 1-1 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celta Vigo vs Girona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 56%, draw 24%, Girona 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celta Vigo) went the other way.