Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Osasuna v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals
Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Osasuna 2-0 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics
Osasuna got the better of Rayo Vallecano 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Osasuna found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Osasuna had 36% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 64%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.59 to 1.09.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Vallecano led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Osasuna and 1.50 for Rayo Vallecano.
What was the final score of Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
Osasuna 2-0 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 36%, draw 31%, Rayo Vallecano 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osasuna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.