Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Osasuna v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals
Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Osasuna 2-0 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics
Osasuna put daylight between themselves and Rayo Vallecano 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 32%) promised a tight game; Osasuna found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came home.
Under the surface, Rayo Vallecano saw more of the ball, 64% to 36%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.59 to 1.09.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Vallecano led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Osasuna against 1.50 for Rayo Vallecano.
Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Result & Final Score
Osasuna 2 - 0 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 34%, draw 34%, Rayo Vallecano 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.