Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Osasuna v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals
Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Osasuna 1-1 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics
Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Osasuna at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Osasuna had 52% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 48%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.76 to 0.80.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Osasuna and 1.33 for Rayo Vallecano.
What was the final score of Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
Osasuna 1-1 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 47%, draw 25%, Rayo Vallecano 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Osasuna), BTTS No went the other way.