Valencia vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valencia v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals
Valencia vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Valencia 1-0 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics
Valencia nicked a narrow win over Real Sociedad 1-0.
Our pre-match split (33% / 34% / 34%) promised a tight game; Valencia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Valencia had 35% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 65%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 1.58 to 0.81.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Valencia and 1.00 for Real Sociedad.
What was the final score of Valencia vs Real Sociedad?
Valencia 1-0 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Primera Liga on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valencia vs Real Sociedad?
Before kick-off our model rated an Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Valencia 33%, draw 34%, Real Sociedad 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.