Real Madrid vs Las Palmas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Madrid v Las Palmas — Team-Based Signals
Real Madrid vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Real Madrid 4-1 Las Palmas — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid cruised past Las Palmas 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
On the day, Real Madrid had 61% of the ball to Las Palmas's 39%, shots finished 26-6, expected goals 5.91 to 1.10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Real Madrid and 0.83 for Las Palmas.
What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Las Palmas?
Real Madrid 4-1 Las Palmas in the Spain - Primera Liga on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Madrid vs Las Palmas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 66%, draw 18%, Las Palmas 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.