Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Celta Vigo v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals
Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Celta Vigo 1-2 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics
Athletic Bilbao nicked a narrow win over Celta Vigo 2-1 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, possession split 59% to 41% in Celta Vigo's favour, shots finished 3-14, expected goals 0.59 to 1.83 — on chances created, Athletic Bilbao won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Celta Vigo against 1.67 for Athletic Bilbao.
Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao Result & Final Score
Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao in the Spain - Primera Liga on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 28%, draw 30%, Athletic Bilbao 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.