Austria Wien 2-2 LASK Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.57
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
45%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.64
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.1
6+ Goals
7%
20.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 33% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.08
1/2
4%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
11%
5.84
X/2
13%
5.63
X/X
12%
3.88
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2 EV+ ✗
28%
3.85
2/X
9%
12.5
Value flag · 2/2 at 3.85 — our 28% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
35%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
45%
Away Win
35%
+10.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 39%
+12% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.62/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.18
+30% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 69%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
22.1 Crosses 17.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
2W-1D-3L
AWAY LASK Linz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.31 xG 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 Passes 319
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-1 HT 1-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
01.12.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-3 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
25.08.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-1 HT 1-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
03.12.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
27.08.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-0 HT 1-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
28.05.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 3-1 HT 1-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
2-2
AWAY LASK Linz
3.00 xG 2.55
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
339 Passes 246
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs LASK Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien and LASK Linz couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was LASK Linz at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Austria Wien had 56% of the ball to LASK Linz's 44%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 3.00 to 2.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LASK Linz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Austria Wien and 1.50 for LASK Linz.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs LASK Linz?

Austria Wien 2-2 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs LASK Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated an LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 28%, draw 27%, LASK Linz 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (LASK Linz), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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