Salzburg 0-0 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.47
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
2.82
6+ Goals
14%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.79
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.95
X/1
21%
4.01
X/2
5%
12.25
X/X
7%
6.49
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
20.3
2/2
8%
9.66
2/X
4%
18.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.3 — our 7% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
64%
+3.5pp
16%
Draw
21%
-4.2pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
2.11/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.78
+12% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 71%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
20.8 Crosses 11.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Hartberg
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.81 xG 1.19
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
414 Passes 328
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2025 Hartberg Hartberg 1-2 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
04.12.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 4-0 HT 2-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
30.11.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
12.05.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-5 HT 1-3 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
17.03.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 5-1 HT 2-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
25.11.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 3-2 HT 1-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
0-0
AWAY Hartberg
1.98 xG 0.36
78% Ball Possession 22%
32 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
593 Passes 108
88% Pass Accuracy 56%
68 Box Touches 8
49 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg and Hartberg fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Salzburg at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salzburg had 78% of the ball to Hartberg's 22%, shots finished 32-7, expected goals 1.98 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Salzburg and 1.00 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Hartberg?

Salzburg 0-0 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 67%, draw 16%, Hartberg 16%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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