Salzburg 4-0 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 4 Dec 2024

Salzburg
4-0 HT 2-0
Hartberg
📅04/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Salzburg vs Hartberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.82
6+ Goals
16%
7.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.57
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
20.85
X/1
20%
3.59
X/2
7%
18.0
X/X
10%
7.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.1
2/2
8%
13.65
2/X
7%
21.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-15.5pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.8pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+11.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salzburg v Hartberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / -1%
2.61/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.10
+28% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 69%
33.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
19.7 Crosses 10.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Salzburg vs Hartberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Hartberg
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.79 xG 1.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
395 Passes 361
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.11.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
12.05.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-5 HT 1-3 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
17.03.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 5-1 HT 2-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
25.11.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 3-2 HT 1-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
01.11.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 1-1 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AUK
20.08.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 1-5 HT 1-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU

Salzburg 4-0 Hartberg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
4-0
AWAY Hartberg
2.82 xG 0.48
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
381 Passes 339
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg ran out comfortable winners over Hartberg 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Salzburg had 51% of the ball to Hartberg's 49%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.82 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Salzburg and 1.17 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Hartberg?

Salzburg 4-0 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 04/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 55%, draw 22%, Hartberg 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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