Hartberg vs Salzburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hartberg v Salzburg — Team-Based Signals
Hartberg vs Salzburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-1
Hartberg
AVU
1-1
HT 0-0
Salzburg
AUK
Hartberg 1-2 Salzburg — Actual Match Statistics
Salzburg edged past Hartberg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Hartberg had 32% of the ball to Salzburg's 68%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.54 to 0.85 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hartberg.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hartberg and 3.17 for Salzburg.
What was the final score of Hartberg vs Salzburg?
Hartberg 1-2 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Salzburg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 18%, draw 20%, Salzburg 62%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.