Grazer AK 1-1 Swarovski Tirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.59
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
12%
5.33
X/2
12%
5.62
X/X
12%
4.59
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
27.5
2/2
14%
3.9
2/X
6%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 38%
-24% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
0.87/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.58
-68% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
274 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
22.6 Crosses 16.8
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.86 xG 0.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
275 Passes 392
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2025 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-0 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
09.11.2024 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-1 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
10.08.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-0 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
22.09.2021 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-4 HT 2-2 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AUK
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Swarovski Tirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK and Swarovski Tirol shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Grazer AK at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grazer AK and 1.25 for Swarovski Tirol.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Swarovski Tirol?

Grazer AK 1-1 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Swarovski Tirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grazer AK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 45%, draw 24%, Swarovski Tirol 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grazer AK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grazer AK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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