Blau-Weiss Linz 2-3 Swarovski Tirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.71
Over 2.5
53%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.94
6+ Goals
12%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
3.11
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
12%
4.87
X/2
15%
6.58
X/X
12%
4.18
2/1
4%
28.0
2/2
11%
4.96
2/X
4%
13.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.7pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.0pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.8pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.67/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.69
+51% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
18.1 Crosses 16.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.28 xG 1.18
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
339 Passes 282
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-0 HT 1-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
02.03.2025 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 2-1 HT 1-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
05.10.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-1 HT 0-1 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
04.05.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 3-2 HT 2-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
13.04.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-1 HT 1-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
10.12.2023 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-2 HT 1-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
2-3
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
0.49 xG 0.93
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
308 Passes 178
71% Pass Accuracy 59%
22 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Blau-Weiss Linz vs Swarovski Tirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swarovski Tirol squeezed past Blau-Weiss Linz 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Blau-Weiss Linz at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Blau-Weiss Linz had 59% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 41%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.49 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swarovski Tirol led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Blau-Weiss Linz and 1.67 for Swarovski Tirol.

What was the final score of Blau-Weiss Linz vs Swarovski Tirol?

Blau-Weiss Linz 2-3 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blau-Weiss Linz vs Swarovski Tirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blau-Weiss Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Blau-Weiss Linz 45%, draw 22%, Swarovski Tirol 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Blau-Weiss Linz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blau-Weiss Linz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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