Grazer AK vs Ried Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Grazer AK v Ried — Team-Based Signals
Grazer AK vs Ried Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Ried
AU2
4-2
HT 1-1
Ried
AU2
1-2
HT 1-0
Grazer AK
AU2
2-2
HT 2-1
Ried
AVU
Grazer AK 2-1 Ried — Actual Match Statistics
Grazer AK nicked a narrow win over Ried 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 32% / 39% — and on the day Grazer AK made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Grazer AK had 43% of the ball to Ried's 57%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.74 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Grazer AK's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grazer AK had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Grazer AK and 0.83 for Ried.
What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Ried?
Grazer AK 2-1 Ried in the Austria - Bundesliga on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Ried?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 30%, draw 32%, Ried 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.