Blau-Weiss Linz 2-1 Swarovski Tirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.51
2-3 Goals
46%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
4.83
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.96
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
12%
4.63
X/2
9%
7.22
X/X
7%
3.81
2/1
3%
30.0
2/2
9%
5.88
2/X
11%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 29%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -2%
0.89/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.58
+4% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
16.7 Crosses 16.8
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.25 xG 1.23
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
277 Passes 333
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-1 HT 0-1 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
04.05.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 3-2 HT 2-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
13.04.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-1 HT 1-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
10.12.2023 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-2 HT 1-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
02.09.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-4 HT 1-2 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
01.12.2022 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 4-3 HT 1-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
2-1
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
3.05 xG 0.78
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
297 Passes 208
71% Pass Accuracy 62%
38 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Blau-Weiss Linz vs Swarovski Tirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blau-Weiss Linz squeezed past Swarovski Tirol 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Blau-Weiss Linz as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Blau-Weiss Linz had 57% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 43%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 3.05 to 0.78 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Blau-Weiss Linz's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blau-Weiss Linz had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Blau-Weiss Linz and 2.00 for Swarovski Tirol.

What was the final score of Blau-Weiss Linz vs Swarovski Tirol?

Blau-Weiss Linz 2-1 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blau-Weiss Linz vs Swarovski Tirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blau-Weiss Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Blau-Weiss Linz 47%, draw 25%, Swarovski Tirol 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blau-Weiss Linz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blau-Weiss Linz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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