Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Salzburg v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals
Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Salzburg
AVU
Salzburg 3-1 Sturm Graz — Actual Match Statistics
Salzburg saw off Sturm Graz 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Salzburg had 58% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 42%, shots finished 27-15, expected goals 3.44 to 1.53.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Salzburg and 2.33 for Sturm Graz.
What was the final score of Salzburg vs Sturm Graz?
Salzburg 3-1 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Sturm Graz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 49%, draw 28%, Sturm Graz 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.