Austria Klagenfurt 1-2 LASK Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.84
6+ Goals
9%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 30% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.0
1/2
6%
25.0
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
10%
7.69
X/2
11%
4.5
X/X
12%
4.57
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.64
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.5pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 52%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.50/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.14
-6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
242 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
17.9 Crosses 18.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
0W-2D-4L
AWAY LASK Linz
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.83 xG 1.57
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
238 Passes 382
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 4-0 HT 1-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
05.05.2024 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-2 HT 0-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
31.03.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-0 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
11.02.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-2 HT 1-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
16.09.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-3 HT 0-3 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
07.05.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
1-2
AWAY LASK Linz
0.52 xG 1.59
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
249 Passes 415
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
6 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Austria Klagenfurt vs LASK Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz nicked a narrow win over Austria Klagenfurt 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had LASK Linz as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Austria Klagenfurt had 41% of the ball to LASK Linz's 59%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.52 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LASK Linz led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Austria Klagenfurt and 2.17 for LASK Linz.

What was the final score of Austria Klagenfurt vs LASK Linz?

Austria Klagenfurt 1-2 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Klagenfurt vs LASK Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated an LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Austria Klagenfurt 32%, draw 28%, LASK Linz 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LASK Linz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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