Levski Sofia 4-3 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.3
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
10%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
14%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
72%
+0.6pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.0pp
10%
Away Win
10%
-0.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
2.31/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.14
+18% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -14%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 195 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 HT 0-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
23.11.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
20.07.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-6 HT 1-4 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
27.11.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-2 HT 0-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
30.07.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 6-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
08.04.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia nicked a narrow win over Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Levski Sofia and 0.67 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Levski Sofia 4-3 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 73%, draw 17%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 10%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✓ Over 2.5
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