Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
58%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
58%
Away Win
57%
+1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.0pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 61%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.82/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.28
-13% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Levski Sofia
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 3.40
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
20.07.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-6 HT 1-4 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
27.11.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-2 HT 0-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
30.07.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 6-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
08.04.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1-2
AWAY Levski Sofia
33% Ball Possession 67%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia squeezed past Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 33% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 67%, shots finished 3-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 3.40 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Levski Sofia?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 19%, draw 23%, Levski Sofia 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5
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