Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.09
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
57%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
17%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
57%
Away Win
59%
-1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.0pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 62%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
0.64/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.52
-30% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +73%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
269 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 HT 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
06.10.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
22.05.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 HT 3-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
30.03.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 HT 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
06.12.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 4-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BULK
27.09.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1-1
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Ludogorets Razgrad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Ludogorets Razgrad carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 31% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 69%, shots finished 5-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.83 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 18%, draw 25%, Ludogorets Razgrad 57%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Under 2.5
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